StrategicGlobal Brief
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StrategicGlobal Brief
The brief that shows its work.
Original analysis of markets, policy and risk, built from primary sources (SEC filings, Treasury and Fed data, official statements) and fact-checked before it reaches you. Scenario odds instead of vibes. Public calls, scored in the open, hit or miss.
Cancel anytime. Not a link roundup. Not investment advice.
From Issue #1
Here's what a brief looks like.
Straight from the first issue, with official prints as of the Nov 13 close.
- NVIDIA's founder-CEO is out, the 8-K gives no reason, and results land in 3 days with the CFO doing both jobs.
- The 3-month T-bill is 32 bp above the Fed's ceiling: the market is pricing a hike the Fed hasn't delivered.
- Microsoft's outage was its own network change, and the FAA's ground stop was a separate comms failure. Not attacks: single points of failure.
How far the 3-month T-bill (4.32%) sits above the top of the Fed's target range (4.00%).
When bills trade above the top of the range, the market is betting the next move is up, before the Fed meets again on Dec 8–9.
Sources: U.S. Treasury · NY Fed · Federal Reserve
What you get
Analysis you can check.
If you read nothing else
Three lines that tell you what changed and why it matters. Done in thirty seconds.
The Number
One figure that explains the issue, pulled from an official source, with the context to read it.
Three deep briefs
Bottom line, what happened, why it matters, what the market may be missing, a risk score and a confidence level.
Scenario odds
Base, upside and downside cases with probabilities that sum to 100%, plus the assets exposed to each.
What-if simulation
A step-by-step walk through the scenario that could move things next, with dates and mechanisms.
Catalyst calendar
Dated events (earnings, auctions, Fed meetings), listed only when an official calendar or filing confirms them.
Every issue's numbers and quotes are machine-checked against the raw data pull before it goes out. Filings are quoted from SEC EDGAR, rates from Treasury and the NY Fed, FX from the ECB. Press reports that a filing doesn't confirm get labeled unverified, and news citations are headlines only.
On the Record
Public calls. Dated. Scored.
Every issue can carry falsifiable calls with a probability, a resolution date and the source that settles them. They're logged, timestamped and never edited. When one resolves, it goes on the scorecard, hit or miss.
The 10-year Treasury yield prints at or above 5.00% on Treasury's daily par yield curve for Friday, November 20, 2026.
Resolves Nov 20, 2026 · U.S. Treasury par yield curve
NVIDIA files an 8-K naming a permanent CEO on or before December 31, 2026.
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · SEC EDGAR, Item 5.02
The track record starts at zero and builds in public. Resolved calls are scored with a Brier score (lower is better).
The StrategicGlobal research desk, registered with ORCID, the open researcher-identifier registry.
orcid.org/0009-0004-7002-462X · @SGlobalApp on X · Published by Amoreno LLC
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- The full issue
- Three deep briefs with scenario odds and exposed assets
- What-if simulation and catalyst calendar
- Every On the Record call and the running scorecard
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The "If you read nothing else" opener and one On the Record call. Upgrade whenever you like.
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The full StrategicGlobal app is relaunching.
StrategicGlobal Brief is the newsletter. The app goes further, and subscribers hear first when it's back.
Briefs on demand
Any company, region, asset or event, with the same sourcing.
Probability forecasts
In a public registry, scored on resolution.
What-if simulations
Walk a scenario forward, step by step.
Strategy rooms
A running brief on what you follow.
Exposed-asset maps
Tickers, direction and mechanism.
FAQ
Questions
How is this different from a news roundup?
We don't forward links. Each brief is original analysis: what a filing or data print actually says, why it matters, what the market may be missing, and scenario odds. Sources are cited so you can check us.
Where does the data come from?
Primary sources first: SEC EDGAR filings, U.S. Treasury yield curves, the NY Fed, the Federal Reserve, the ECB, TreasuryDirect auction schedules and official agency statements. Major newswires add context, and any claim a primary source doesn't confirm gets labeled unverified.
How do you fact-check?
Before an issue goes out, every number and direct quote is checked by machine against the raw data pulled for that issue. If something doesn't match, the issue doesn't ship until it's fixed.
What's in the free teaser?
You get the "If you read nothing else" opener and one On the Record call. The deep briefs, scenarios, what-if and calendar are in the paid issue.
Is this investment advice?
No. The Brief is information and analysis for education only. It isn't a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Probabilities are our estimates and can be wrong.
How do I cancel?
Anytime. Use the manage-subscription link in your receipt or reply to any issue, and you won't be charged again. You keep access through the end of the period you've paid for.
Who's behind it?
The StrategicGlobal research desk (ORCID 0009-0004-7002-462X), published by Amoreno LLC. Follow along at @SGlobalApp.